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Original finance The Hospitality Newsletter Team · ·For: Owner, GM, Revenue, Investor

Hotel Owners Face 2027 Profit Squeeze as Costs Outpace RevPAR

Modest RevPAR projections and outpacing operating expenses force hotel asset managers to rethink brand affiliations and debt strategies for 2027.

The short answer

Hotel asset managers anticipate modest RevPAR increases of 1 to 3 percent in 2027 alongside a 1 percent GOPPAR growth rate. Escalating payroll and insurance costs have prompted 51 percent of owners to weigh brand or management changes.

1% to 3%
projected 2027 RevPAR growth expected by 61% of managers
HAMA Fall 2026 survey
1%
projected 2027 U.S. GOPPAR growth
CoStar and Tourism Economics forecast
51%
asset managers considering or making brand or management changes
HAMA Fall 2026 survey
21%
managers needing to refinance at least a quarter of portfolio
within 9 to 12 months
“To date, 2026 has been very good for hoteliers, with a majority of our respondents enjoying marked increases in RevPAR and gross operating profit; however, margins continue to be strained with increased costs”
Dina Winder, president, Hospitality Asset Managers Association
Hotel Owners Face 2027 Profit Squeeze as Costs Outpace RevPAR
Photo: olia danilevich / Pexels

The short version

  • 61 percent of HAMA respondents project 2027 RevPAR growth between 1 and 3 percent
  • CoStar and Tourism Economics project GOPPAR growth will drop to 1 percent in 2027
  • 51 percent of surveyed asset managers are exploring or executing brand or management changes

Hotel owners face tighter margins in 2027 as operating expenses increase faster than room revenue, according to findings from the Hospitality Asset Managers Association (HAMA) Fall 2026 Industry Outlook Survey reported by Asian Hospitality [1]. With projected RevPAR gains slowing to between 1 and 3 percent, rising wages and liability insurance will restrict profit growth to just 1 percent [1].

What are the baseline growth projections for hotel revenue and profit through 2027?

Revenue growth is projected to outpace gross operating profit across the hospitality industry through 2027 [1]. Data from the HAMA Fall 2026 Industry Outlook Survey, which surveyed 72 asset managers representing roughly one-third of the association's membership, revealed that 97 percent expect RevPAR gains to persist into 2027 [1]. However, 61 percent of respondents anticipate that RevPAR expansion will slow to between 1 percent and 3 percent [1].

hotel manager reviewing financial charts
Photo: Yan Krukau / Pexels

CoStar and Tourism Economics forecast that gross operating profit per available room (GOPPAR) will rise 4 percent in 2026 before contracting to 1 percent growth in 2027, Asian Hospitality reported [1]. STR President Amanda Hite noted that operating expenses are expanding faster than inflation in both years [1]. This divergence creates a performance disconnect where top-line metrics no longer guarantee bottom-line results [1].

Metric / Survey Question2026 Projection2027 ProjectionSource
GOPPAR Growth Projection4%1%CoStar / Tourism Economics [1]
RevPAR Growth Range (61% of managers)Not Specified1% to 3%HAMA [1]
Managers Expecting Continued RevPAR GrowthNot Specified97%HAMA [1]
Hotels Beating Full-Year RevPAR Budgets57% of respondentsNot SpecifiedHAMA [1]
Hotels Meeting Full-Year GOP Projections51% of respondentsNot SpecifiedHAMA [1]
hotel staff cleaning empty dining room
Photo: cottonbro studio / Pexels

Which operating expenses are squeezing hotel profit margins?

Payroll obligations and property-level coverage represent the sharpest operational cost increases confronting owners [1]. In the HAMA survey, respondents singled out demand, wage growth, and labor availability as primary operational pressures [1]. Specifically, 44 percent of surveyed managers identified rising wages as a main worry, while 39 percent cited shortages in labor availability [1].

Liability insurance premiums have also escalated, returning as an operational hurdle for portfolios [1]. Because RevPAR accounts solely for available room revenue and ignores variable operating overhead, properties hitting budgeted occupancy and average daily rates still encounter compressed bottom lines when local wages outrun inflation [1].

Why are hotel owners re-evaluating brand and management contracts?

Owners are re-evaluating long-term agreements because royalty and management fees erode returns when operating costs outpace revenue [1]. According to HAMA's survey figures, 51 percent of asset managers reported that they were actively considering or had already executed a brand or management change [1]. Within that group, 24 percent of respondents were considering changing both brand and management companies simultaneously [1].

hotel exterior entrance with luggage carts
Photo: Mikhail Nilov / Pexels

These contract reviews force owners to weigh the commercial benefits of brand reservation distribution and guest loyalty programs against operating standards and system fee structures [1]. As GOPPAR growth drops to 1 percent, brand-mandated capital upgrades and system fees are facing scrutiny from ownership groups seeking to protect property cash flow [1].

How will tighter operating margins affect near-term debt refinancing?

Margin erosion directly impacts debt-service coverage ratios just as upcoming loan maturities arrive [1]. HAMA found that 21 percent of respondents need to refinance at least a quarter of their hotel portfolios within nine to 12 months [1]. Slower income growth complicates this process by restricting the cash flow available to cover debt service [1].

Lender selectivity, debt costs, and squeezed margins are deciding which hospitality deals proceed, according to research from Access Point Financial reported by Asian Hospitality [1]. With traditional financing hurdles putting new ground-up construction on hold, developers and operators are redirecting capital into asset renovations, brand conversions, and selective acquisitions [1].

Reported by

This article was written from the following reporting. Follow the links for the original coverage.

Frequently asked

+What is the projected GOPPAR growth rate for U.S. hotels in 2027?

According to forecasts from CoStar and Tourism Economics, gross operating profit per available room is projected to grow by just 1 percent in 2027, down from 4 percent growth projected for 2026, as operational expenses outrun inflation [[1]].

+What percentage of asset managers expect RevPAR growth in 2027?

According to the HAMA Fall 2026 Industry Outlook Survey, 97 percent of surveyed asset managers anticipate RevPAR growth in 2027, though 61 percent expect modest gains of only 1 percent to 3 percent [[1]].

+What are the primary operational cost concerns cited by hotel managers?

Asset managers surveyed by HAMA identified wage growth and labor availability as primary operational concerns, with 44 percent pointing to wage increases and 39 percent citing labor shortages. Liability insurance has also returned as a primary cost pressure [[1]].

+How many hotel owners are considering brand or operator changes?

Roughly 51 percent of surveyed HAMA members are considering or have already made a brand or management adjustment, with 24 percent considering swapping both the brand and the management company [[1]].

+How many hotel portfolios face near-term refinancing requirements?

The HAMA survey revealed that around 21 percent of respondents need to refinance at least 25 percent of their overall property portfolios within the next nine to 12 months [[1]].

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